Efforts to make more effective treatments have been challenging. Morris says eight drugs aimed at slowing or removing the buildup of amyloid plaques have failed to pass the clinical trials needed for drug approval in the past 13 years. Those failures probably reflect "too little, too late," experts say, because the drugs were tested on patients who already exhibited Alzheimer's dementia, now thought to be the final stage of the disease.

Abnormal accumulation of amyloid is now suspected to begin 10 or even 20 years before cognitive symptoms appear. So researchers and drug companies are shifting their testing to patients who show no signs of the disease but who are likely to develop it. Those patients will be identified either using scans to detect plaque or through genetic screening.

For a trial later this year, Sperling and her team will recruit 1,000 people who exhibit no cognitive dysfunction but whose Amyvid scans show amyloid accumulation. The trial will test whether giving patients an antibody drug called solanezumab, which binds to and mops up the soluble form of amyloid, will slow the onset of cognitive decline. "Hopefully, we'll very much change the curve of the very early cognitive decline," Sperling says.

Along similar lines, Morris and colleagues at the Dominantly Inherited Alzheimer Network (DIAN), an international research partnership of scientists, will be testing two drugs in the rare set of patients who are genetically predisposed to developing early-onset Alzheimer's, typically in their mid-40s.  This will be the first trial to test whether amyloid-attacking drugs can slow or stop the progression of Alzheimer's in patients destined to develop it. Last month, the U.S. National Institutes of Health announced $45 million in funding for DIAN and other early intervention trials.

It's a hopeful step for treating a disease whose pervasiveness is growing. About 5 million people in the United States have Alzheimer's, and that number is expected to escalate. "By our 90s, most of us are going to have it," Aisen says.